EP 288: OpenAI's Valuation Debate, Marvell's Network Bets, and the Next Bottlenecks for AI Growth

The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman • December 22, 2025 • Solo Episode

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On this episode of The Six Five Pod, hosts Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman discuss the latest tech news stories that made headlines. This week's handpicked topics include: THE DECODE Big Funding Headline: OpenAI's reported mega-round and valuation https://www.reuters.com/technology/openai-discussed-raising-tens-billions-valuation-about-750-billion-information-2025-12-18/ https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2001366643436315110 https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2001362761247527174 https://x.com/PatrickMoorhead/status/2001267663490646200 https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/17/amazon-reportedly-in-talks-to-invest-10b-in-openai-as-circular-deals-stay-popular/ AWS "Circular deal" / Corporate venture logic AI build-out constraints https://www.theverge.com/news/846696/electricity-cost-ai-data-center-democrat-investigation https://www.axios.com/2025/12/17/democrats-data-centers-ai-fight https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/12/arizona-city-rejects-data-center-after-ai-lobbying-push-00688543 Marvell Industry Analyst Day highlights https://x.com/MoorInsStrat/status/2000359388264161710 Government "Tech Force" for AI Talent https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/15/tech/government-tech-force-ai Google works to erode Nvidia's software moat (TPU + PyTorch + Meta) https://www.reuters.com/business/google-works-erode-nvidias-software-advantage-with-metas-help-2025-12-17/ Judge rules Tesla engaged in deceptive marketing for Autopilot and full self-driving features https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/16/tesla-engaged-in-deceptive-marketing-for-autopilot-and-full-self-driving-judge-rules/ Tesla tests autonomous vehicles without safety drivers in Austin, Tx https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/15/tesla-starts-testing-robotaxis-in-austin-with-no-safety-driver/ Adobe Firefly now supports prompt-based video editing, adds more third-party models https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/16/adobe-firefly-now-supports-prompt-based-video-editing-adds-more-third-party-models/ https://youtu.be/SjtULo8qs88?si=quE7pEptW8xph1OI Google's Opal for vibe coding comes to Gemini https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/17/googles-vibe-coding-tool-opal-comes-to-gemini/ THE FLIP OpenAI - Tulip Bubble and Canary in the Coal mine or The Real AI Deal? https://x.com/danielnewmanuv/status/2001487733823541634?s=46&t=8QBZggR299yC4bcbbox-Xg https://x.com/danielnewmanuv/status/2001366643436315110?s=46&t=8QBZggR299yC4bcbbox-Xg BULLS & BEARS AI infrastructure stocks tumble on debt fears: Oracle, Broadcom, CoreWeave selloff https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/16/cnbc-daily-open-ai-infrastructure-stocks-are-taking-a-beating.html Recent Fed rate cut & speculation of another coming soon: https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2001041850669404473 Oracle earnings (Q2) — CapEx reality check https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2025/12/18/whats-happening-with-oracle-stock/ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oracle-plunges-12-despite-earnings-145626357.html Micron crushes earnings as AI data center demand tightens memory supply https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-wall-street-expects-micron-183836008.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAKf8aUugkk7hJbCnmiZWS2q5x1WWjD07AUywz6vzxnw6btX2iK0-aNmQBgg3sU67GWZXIKHz74cGnjnzZYeuBDv1A8_Rwp67iIKAtMI1A94LhJTRlcqdnN2_QYPWB_5ZTkO96ZSpFMjMsAwDUBf1yz-RIQnA-78Yk-zhD6VFqr- https://x.com/danielnewmanuv/status/2001404328997712349?s=46&t=8QBZggR299yC4bcbbox-Xg Broadcom earnings (Q4) — custom silicon tension https://finance.yahoo.com/news/broadcom-q4-earnings-beat-estimates-154300300.html Databricks raises $4B at $134B valuation as its AI business heats up https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/16/databricks-raises-4b-at-134b-valuation-as-its-ai-business-heats-up/ Smartphone Prices Set to Jump 6.9% as AI Data Centers Devour Memory Chips: The shortage of DRAM chips used in both AI servers and smartphones could threaten to cut smartphone shipments by 2.1%. To cope, some manufacturers may downgrade cameras, displays, and audio or reuse older components. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/16/smartphone-prices-to-rise-in-2026-due-to-ai-fueled-chip-shortage.html Adobe Earnings https://finance.yahoo.com/news/adobe-q4-earnings-beat-estimates-145000488.html Synopsys Earnings https://finance.yahoo.com/news/synopsys-q4-earnings-surpass-estimates-153300031.html

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