What Are the Odds H5N1 Is Worse Than COVID-19

BlueDot Narrated • January 12, 2026 • Solo Episode

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Audio versions of blogs and papers from BlueDot courses. Executive Summary The chance of H5N1 or one of its descendants causing a pandemic is slim, but the impact would probably be more severe than COVID-19A reasonable forecast that H5N1 causes a pandemic as bad as or worse than COVID-19 beginning in the next year is ~4%, which means the expected cost in terms of potential harms to the U.S. is at least $640 billionThe federal government can reduce that risk by: Scaling up testing &...

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